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THE property sector is expected to slow down further this year following cooling measures and tougher lending conditions implemented in 2014.
However, the rate of the slowdown may be cushioned with the continuous fall in the price of oil.
While oil price is a factor, CIMB said the goods and services tax (GST) is another. In a report entitled “Property Development and Investment: Post GST Blues?”, CIMB Research head Terence Wong foresees a pick-up in buying momentum in the fir...st half of 2015.
According to Wong, there was renewed interest in property transactions in the second half of 2014.
“Buyers will likely adopt a wait and see attitude for six to nine months after that (post GST implementation), which will be in line with the typical consumer behaviour experienced in most countries that implemented GST. The net effect is that 2015 could end up being a similar year to 2014 in terms of property transactions, which we would categorise as a lacklustre year.... 2015 will be tricky,” he says in his report.
An issue befuddling the market is the sheer number of launches in 2011 and 2012 (see table). Transactions doubled between 2010 and 2011 from about 30,000 to 56,000 respectively. In 2012, the number of transactions increased to over 60,000 and dropped by a third in 2013.
Launches sold in 2012 are expected to enter the market this year, says PA International Property Consultants (KL) Sdn Bhd head of agency Wendy Tong.
Many of these buyers are expected to sell their units if they are unable to get the rent that will cover their mortgage payments, she says.
Tong’s advice is to “buy based on rental returns.”
“Buyers should not simply buy just to invest, or for the sake of buying. This was the situation the last couple of years. People were buying for the sake of owning a unit here, or a unit there,” says Tong.
She says for as long as she can remember, capital appreciation was the main driver in property investments. With slow, little capital appreciation and low yield, there may be little incentive now, she says.
Source : The Star Online
Andy Ko, DH 고동한
REAPFIELD PROPERTIES(HARTAMAS) SDN BHD
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